The School of Odds

Charlotte Knights v Norfolk Tides

2026-07-23 23:04 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 58.64%1.71fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -8.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.55%58.64%58.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.611.611.6263%62%62%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 41.36%2.42fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.24%41.45%41.36%42.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.252.3045%44%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:02
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 15:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.59%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.71%E -2.50%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 15:05
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.71%E -2.50%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 15:00
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 15:05
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -8.60%E -3.89%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.