The School of Odds

Charlotte Knights v Norfolk Tides

2026-07-21 23:04 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 57.97%1.73fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.90%57.96%58.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.621.621.6763%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 42.03%2.38fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.10%42.04%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.182.222.202.3046%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:09
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.85%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 14:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 14:33
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.85%E -2.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 14:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 14:25
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 15:22
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 17:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 20:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.