Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights v Norfolk Tides

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd

EV -0.667%

Edge -0.346%

Kelly -0.717%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.40%50.96%51.48%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.581.761.801.9363.29%56.82%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd

EV +11.62%

Edge +5.05%

Kelly +8.94%

Growth +1.04%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.87%49.04%48.52%51.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.812.011.962.3055.25%49.72%51.15%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Knights (Local): 51.47%; Norfolk Tides (Visit): 48.53%. For Norfolk Tides (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -18.17%E -11.43%K -30.79%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +11.62%E +5.05%K +8.94%G +1.04%	6.4%	2026-05-17 14:35
1xBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -18.68%E -11.82%K -32.21%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +9.20%E +4.09%K +7.36%G +0.677%	7.7%	2026-05-17 12:35
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.96%E -6.34%K -15.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-17 17:00
FanDuel🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.88%E -2.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-17 16:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-17 16:55
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 16:54
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-17 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -0.667%E -0.346%K -0.717%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -12.16%E -6.72%K -15.01%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-17 16:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.