The School of Odds

Charlotte Knights v Norfolk Tides

2026-07-25 22:05 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 59.86%1.67fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -8.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%60.06%59.62%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.561.5965%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 40.14%2.49fair odd
EV +0.361%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.94%40.38%40.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.362.352.5043%42%43%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.361%E +0.145%K +0.241%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-25 13:39
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 13:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 13:40
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 13:40
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:36
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 14:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 17:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.