Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights v Nashville Sounds

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 23:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 46.32%2.16fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.27%46.20%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1352.36%49.81%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 53.68%1.86fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.73%53.80%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.751.8359.17%57.06%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -1.35%E -0.632%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 21:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 21:48
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.51%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:35
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 21:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 22:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 21:34
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -10.61%E -5.50%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 15:44
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.53%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.76%E -0.962%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.