Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -1.58%

Kelly -2.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.27%39.51%36.89%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.452.502.6051.28%40.86%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 63.11%1.58fair odd

EV +13.61%

Edge +7.56%

Kelly +17.01%

Growth +2.31%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.00%60.49%63.11%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.541.501.8067.57%65.12%66.67%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Knights (Local): 36.89%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 63.11%. For Memphis Redbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -28.07%E -14.40%K -29.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +13.61%E +7.56%K +17.01%G +2.31%	6.8%	2026-04-07 22:29
theScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-07 17:15
William Hill🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-07 17:15
Bovada🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-07 19:21
1xBet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.52%E -3.44%K -5.76%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-07 18:10
FanDuel🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.73%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-07 17:15
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.73%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-07 19:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.