The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Charlotte Knights v Gwinnett Stripers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.18%46.41%45.92%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.102.1152.36%48.70%47.62%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.59%54.08%55.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.711.8359.88%57.92%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Knights (Local): 45.92%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 54.08%. For Gwinnett Stripers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -9.68%E -5.80%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:35
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.68%E -5.80%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:30
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.03%E -0.561%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.