Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights v Durham Bulls

2026-08-06 23:04 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 57.07%1.75fair odd

EV -4.70%

Edge -2.81%

Kelly -7.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.70%57.06%57.07%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.631.661.661.6761.35%60.34%60.24%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 42.93%2.33fair odd

EV -5.12%

Edge -2.32%

Kelly -4.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.75%42.94%42.93%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.082.162.202.2148.08%46.24%45.45%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte Knights (Local): 57.07%; Durham Bulls (Visit): 42.93%. For Charlotte Knights (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -4.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 12:27
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-06 12:35
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.84%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-06 12:30
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-06 12:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 12:09
1xBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -10.70%E -5.15%K -9.91%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-06 12:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.