Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights v Durham Bulls

2026-08-07 23:04 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -7.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.40%55.46%55.12%56.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.711.7160.24%58.91%58.65%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%44.54%44.88%45.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.092.102.1549.02%47.76%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte Knights (Local): 55.41%; Durham Bulls (Visit): 44.59%. For Durham Bulls (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.15, with an expected value of -4.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.80%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 15:25
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.03%E -4.43%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 15:33
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.81%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 15:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 16:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 15:32
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.