The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Buffalo Bisons v Syracuse Mets

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 49.33%2.03fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.790%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.21%48.72%50.00%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.931.932.0653.76%51.88%51.81%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 50.67%1.97fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.28%50.00%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.8958.82%55.17%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Bisons (Local): 49.33%; Syracuse Mets (Visit): 50.67%. For Buffalo Bisons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV +1.63%E +0.790%K +1.53%G +0.025%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -13.87%E -8.16%K -19.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 16:09
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 22:19
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 22:29
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -10.32%E -5.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 22:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.77%E -3.02%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -8.24%E -4.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -4.24%E -2.24%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.