Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons v Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%45.96%45.91%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.0650.00%49.12%48.78%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.04%54.09%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.741.741.7757.80%57.38%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:21
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:24
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 15:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 21:54
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.