Buffalo Bisons v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

45%

55%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 45.12%2.22fair odd

EV -4.34%

Edge -2.05%

Kelly -3.88%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.92%45.22%45.03%46.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.082.092.1250%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 54.88%1.82fair odd

EV -2.86%

Edge -1.62%

Kelly -3.72%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.05%54.78%54.97%56.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.661.701.691.7760%59%59%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-22 16:54
BetRivers	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.90%E -5.36%K -13.48%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-22 16:14
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-22 16:54
Bovada	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-22 16:42
1xBet	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-22 16:14
BetOnline.ag	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-22 16:50
Betway	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-22 16:54
Caesars	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-22 16:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.