The School of Odds

Buffalo Bisons v Rochester Red Wings

2026-07-25 22:35 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 45.84%2.18fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%45.74%45.91%46.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.0950%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 54.16%1.85fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%54.26%54.09%55.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.731.741.7558%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -4.20%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 13:39
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 13:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 13:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 13:40
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:36
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:05
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 13:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.