Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons v Rochester Red Wings

2026-09-18 22:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

43%

57%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 43.08%2.32fair odd

EV -5.23%

Edge -2.38%

Kelly -4.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.86%43.13%43.08%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.172.192.202.2046.08%45.61%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 56.92%1.76fair odd

EV -4.94%

Edge -2.96%

Kelly -7.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.51%56.87%56.92%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.661.671.6760.61%60.15%60.06%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bisons (Local): 43.08%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 56.92%. For Rochester Red Wings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -4.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.23%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-18 14:46
FanDuel🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.23%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.51%E -3.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-18 14:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.23%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.08%E -3.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-18 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.52%E -3.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-18 14:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.