The School of Odds

Buffalo Bisons v Rochester Red Wings

2026-07-23 22:35 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 44.01%2.27fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%44.06%44.01%44.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.132.132.1548%47%47%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 55.99%1.79fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -7.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%55.94%55.99%56.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.681.691.6960%59%59%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 15:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 15:02
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.82%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.94%E -3.53%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.26%E -2.94%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 15:05
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.14%E -3.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.50%E -3.89%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 15:30
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.