Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons v Rochester Red Wings

2026-09-16 22:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd

EV -5.41%

Edge -2.63%

Kelly -5.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.33%45.85%45.91%46.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.042.052.0650.00%48.93%48.78%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd

EV -3.19%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -4.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.26%54.15%54.09%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.741.741.7958.82%57.51%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bisons (Local): 45.92%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 54.08%. For Rochester Red Wings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -3.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-16 12:39
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-16 12:40
Caesars🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-16 12:41
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-16 12:45
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-16 14:05
BetRivers🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-16 16:35
1xBet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-16 14:04
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-16 19:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.