Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons v Norfolk Tides

2026-08-06 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd

EV -5.57%

Edge -3.13%

Kelly -7.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.86%53.02%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.761.771.7857.80%56.82%56.50%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd

EV -6.10%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -6.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.38%46.98%46.95%47.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.941.992.002.0051.55%50.22%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bisons (Local): 53.05%; Norfolk Tides (Visit): 46.95%. For Buffalo Bisons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.78, with an expected value of -5.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 12:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 12:09
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 12:27
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 12:50
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 12:30
1xBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-06 12:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.