The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Buffalo Bisons v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bisons (Local)

Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV +0.079%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%46.64%48.00%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.012.1452.36%49.44%49.63%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.36%52.00%56.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8359.88%57.43%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Bisons (Local): 46.77%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 53.23%. For Buffalo Bisons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.138. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.140, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.079%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV +0.079%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:54
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 19:09
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -5.07%E -2.50%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 20:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 21:06
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 19:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 19:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.