The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Albuquerque Isotopes v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albuquerque Isotopes (Local)

Prediction 46.58%2.15fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.494%
Kelly +0.916%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.49%46.52%46.63%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.1753.19%50.35%50.00%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 53.42%1.87fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%53.48%53.37%56.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8359.88%56.50%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albuquerque Isotopes (Local): 46.58%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 53.42%. For Albuquerque Isotopes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.07%E +0.494%K +0.916%G +0.010%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.78%E -6.46%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.04%E -4.05%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.97%E -3.39%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.44%E -3.07%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 17:29
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.44%E -3.07%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 17:34
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 18:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.84%E -2.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 12:35
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -11.50%E -6.05%K -12.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -2.77%E -1.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -12.44%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.