The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Albuquerque Isotopes v Round Rock Express

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 19:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albuquerque Isotopes (Local)

Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%56.37%55.85%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.671.681.7765.36%59.84%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV +12.64%
Edge +4.96%
Kelly +8.15%
Growth +1.03%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%43.63%44.15%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.132.5551.28%46.40%47.06%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albuquerque Isotopes (Local): 55.83%; Round Rock Express (Visit): 44.17%. For Round Rock Express (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -14.58%E -9.53%K -27.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +12.64%E +4.96%K +8.15%G +1.03%4.6%2026-07-26 18:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 19:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 19:29
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.68%E -3.68%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 19:30
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -8.12%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -1.18%E -0.668%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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