Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albuquerque Isotopes v El Paso Chihuahuas

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albuquerque Isotopes (Local)

Prediction 50.27%1.99fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.82%50.00%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.831.9159.17%55.19%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV +4.44%
Edge +2.11%
Kelly +4.04%
Growth +0.179%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%49.18%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.902.1054.64%51.81%52.63%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albuquerque Isotopes (Local): 50.27%; El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit): 49.73%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -15.05%E -8.90%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +4.44%E +2.11%K +4.04%G +0.179%6.8%2026-05-28 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -14.55%E -8.56%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV +2.95%E +1.42%K +2.75%G +0.081%7.1%2026-05-28 16:49
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.04%E -7.54%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +0.460%E +0.228%K +0.451%G +0.002%7.3%2026-05-28 17:49
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.01%E -4.38%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 17:58
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.99%E -2.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 17:39
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.38%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.