Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 48.83%2.05fair odd
EV +5.97%
Edge +2.75%
Kelly +5.10%
Growth +0.304%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.92%48.66%48.93%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.932.1754.95%51.61%51.81%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 51.17%1.95fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.34%51.07%55.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.9358.82%54.88%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 48.83%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 51.17%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%EV +5.97%E +2.75%K +5.10%G +0.304%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.107%E +0.052%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.97%E -6.30%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 06:10
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.107%E +0.052%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.02%E -7.66%K -18.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 06:40
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.88%E -3.78%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 08:55
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:55
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:55
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 08:53
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.33%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.48%E -6.64%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 06:10
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.29%E -2.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.46%E -5.98%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.29%E -1.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:55
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.71%E -4.08%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.25%E -0.646%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.71%E -4.08%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.25%E -0.646%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:55
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:54
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 08:54
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 08:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.64%E -5.81%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:55
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.64%E -5.81%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -11.12%E -6.11%K -13.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -11.12%E -6.11%K -13.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.