Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 39.21%2.55fair odd
EV -0.005%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.20%39.25%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.462.5543.48%40.85%40.73%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 60.79%1.65fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%60.80%60.75%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.581.6165.36%63.65%63.49%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 39.21%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 60.79%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.5501. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.5500, with an expected value of -0.005%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -0.397%E -0.156%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-25 07:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -0.397%E -0.156%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-25 07:20
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.13%E -1.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-25 07:40
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 07:15
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 07:05
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 07:04
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 07:05
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -7.06%E -2.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 04:05
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 05:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.