Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v NC Dinos

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 52.52%1.90fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.46%52.61%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.67%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC Dinos (Visit)

Prediction 47.48%2.11fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.54%47.39%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.972.002.0654.05%50.73%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 52.52%; NC Dinos (Visit): 47.48%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.79%E -0.956%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.31%E -4.88%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 23:20
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 09:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.16%E -6.57%K -14.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 09:00
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -3.89%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -12.16%E -6.57%K -14.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 09:20
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 09:25
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 09:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.56%E -2.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:05
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 09:25
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 08:50
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 09:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.46%E -3.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 09:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 09:05
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 08:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 09:05
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 09:05
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.62%E -4.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.67%E -5.62%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.67%E -5.62%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -9.79%E -5.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.