Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.37
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 58.94%; NC Dinos (Visit): 41.06%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.57%E -0.938%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.78%E -6.56%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 03:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.51%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.51%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.51%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -11.31%E -5.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -11.31%E -5.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -11.31%E -5.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -11.31%E -5.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 20:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -11.31%E -5.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.51%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.51%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.10%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 04:33 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.80%E -2.99%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 04:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 04:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.73%E -5.45%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.