Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v LG Twins

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 39.53%2.53fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.310%
Kelly -0.516%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.63%39.61%39.45%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.5145.45%42.21%42.11%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LG Twins (Visit)

Prediction 60.47%1.65fair odd
EV -0.830%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%60.39%60.55%61.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6466.67%64.12%64.10%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 39.53%; LG Twins (Visit): 60.47%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.51, with an expected value of -0.779%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.779%E -0.310%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 06:48
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.779%E -0.310%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 06:39
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.15%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 09:20
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -0.830%E -0.506%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 09:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 09:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:50
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:49
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:49
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.31%E -2.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 09:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 09:19
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 22:49
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 09:19
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 22:50
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 09:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 15:30
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 09:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 08:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.27%E -4.05%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.03%E -5.92%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.