The School of Odds
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SSG Landers v Kiwoom Heroes

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 65.94%1.52fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%66.12%66.04%70.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.441.5075.19%70.02%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)

Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV +12.05%
Edge +3.66%
Kelly +5.26%
Growth +0.634%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.70%33.88%33.96%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.802.803.2941.67%35.71%35.71%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 65.94%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 34.06%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV +12.05%E +3.66%K +5.26%G +0.634%2.3%2026-04-01 09:19
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -8.34%E -6.00%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +5.58%E +1.80%K +2.66%G +0.148%4.2%2026-04-01 09:25
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -10.98%E -8.13%K -31.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +5.58%E +1.80%K +2.66%G +0.148%6.3%2026-04-01 09:14
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.30%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.67%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.70%EV +4.56%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.100%6.1%2026-04-01 09:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +3.88%E +1.27%K +1.89%G +0.073%2.7%2026-04-01 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +3.88%E +1.27%K +1.89%G +0.073%2.7%2026-04-01 09:25
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.18%E +0.726%K +1.09%G +0.024%6.9%2026-04-01 08:53
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.30%E -9.25%K -37.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.18%E +0.726%K +1.09%G +0.024%8.5%2026-04-01 09:14
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.647%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 09:00
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.39%E -3.02%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.63%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 08:55
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.39%E -3.02%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.63%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.63%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.63%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 09:00
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.68%E -5.49%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.63%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.09%E -0.726%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.74%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.74%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.09%E -0.726%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 08:24
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 08:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.39%E -3.02%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 08:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -13.49%E -5.31%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 08:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.09%E -0.726%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.85%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 08:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -14.85%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -18.26%E -7.61%K -13.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.