Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%45.62%45.74%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.052.2551.28%48.19%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV -0.470%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.566%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.38%54.26%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.711.8362.50%58.26%58.31%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 45.61%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 54.39%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +2.63%E +1.17%K +2.10%G +0.055%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.98%E -8.11%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 06:00
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.566%E -0.260%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.72%E -5.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.566%E -0.260%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.72%E -5.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 08:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.566%E -0.260%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.72%E -5.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 08:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.566%E -0.260%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.72%E -5.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.566%E -0.260%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.72%E -5.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.30%E -1.56%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 08:50
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.56%E -0.861%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 08:40
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 08:45
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 08:45
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 08:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 08:44
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 08:44
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 08:54
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 08:30
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 08:45
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.00%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 08:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.54%E -4.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 08:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 08:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 00:29
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 08:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.00%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 08:45
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.54%E -4.44%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 08:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -9.23%E -4.64%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -0.470%E -0.257%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -10.60%E -5.41%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -10.60%E -5.41%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 08:44
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 08:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.