Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 38.92%2.57fair odd
EV +0.030%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.019%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.85%38.93%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.422.402.5743.86%41.24%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 61.08%1.64fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.15%61.07%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.541.5968.97%65.09%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 38.92%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 61.08%. For SSG Landers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.569. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.570, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.030%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV +0.030%E +0.011%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 09:05
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -0.749%E -0.294%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.44%E -7.89%K -25.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 08:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.53%E -0.604%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-16 09:20
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.53%E -0.604%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-16 09:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 07:35
FanDuel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 09:20
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.86%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 09:25
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 09:25
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 09:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 09:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 09:25
MyBookie.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 09:25
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -6.20%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.50%E -2.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 09:25
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.50%E -2.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 09:25
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.50%E -2.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 09:25
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.72%E -3.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 09:19
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 03:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:20
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:25
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:25
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:13
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.38%E -5.59%K -16.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 09:10
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.99%E -6.04%K -18.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 09:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 04:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 09:25
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 09:20
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.99%E -6.04%K -18.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 09:20
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48%EV -8.99%E -6.04%K -18.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.