Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSG Landers (Local)

Prediction 60.80%1.64fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.87%60.78%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.551.6167.57%64.91%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.738%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.13%39.22%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.402.6044.44%41.22%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSG Landers (Local): 60.80%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 39.20%. For Doosan Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.92%E +0.738%K +1.20%G +0.023%6.0%2026-09-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.92%E +0.738%K +1.20%G +0.023%6.0%2026-09-04 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.92%E +0.738%K +1.20%G +0.023%6.0%2026-09-04 09:00
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.92%E +0.738%K +1.20%G +0.023%6.0%2026-09-04 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.92%E +0.738%K +1.20%G +0.023%6.0%2026-09-04 09:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.39%E -0.961%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 08:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.18%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 09:15
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.75%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 09:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.53%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:44
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:40
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.37%E -4.13%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:40
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.37%E -4.13%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 09:09
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.41%E -6.31%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.71%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 06:34
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 04:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.11%E -1.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.11%EV -8.80%E -5.87%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.89%EV -11.41%E -5.05%K -9.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 09:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.41%E -6.31%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.