The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.81%44.81%47.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.102.102.2050.25%47.63%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV +0.681%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.831%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.00%55.19%55.19%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.701.8262.50%58.57%58.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 44.68%; SSG Landers (Visit): 55.32%. For SSG Landers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.681%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV +0.681%E +0.374%K +0.831%G +0.006%2.6%2026-04-23 09:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.425%E -0.236%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.425%E -0.236%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 08:50
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -9.30%E -4.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -0.425%E -0.236%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:54
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.64%E -5.32%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 08:50
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:09
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:50
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:09
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 08:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.50%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 07:30
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.50%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.51%E -3.63%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.96%E -3.50%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:59
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 23:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 08:59
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.72%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.72%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -8.72%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.70%E -0.774%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.49%E -7.18%K -19.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.