The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.95%64.36%65.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.481.5370.92%67.93%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd
EV -0.735%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.415%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%36.05%35.64%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7741.67%38.35%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 64.16%; SSG Landers (Visit): 35.84%. For SSG Landers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -0.735%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.20%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 00:40
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.47%E -1.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-20 09:28
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 09:29
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-20 00:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.735%E -0.265%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 09:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.735%E -0.265%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 09:54
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 09:54
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.24%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 09:39
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.24%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.24%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 09:25
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 09:23
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 09:19
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 09:19
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 09:19
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.53%E -0.929%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 09:29
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 09:34
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 09:29
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 09:29
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 09:25
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 09:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 09:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 09:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 09:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.60%EV -11.84%E -4.81%K -8.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 09:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -9.53%E -6.76%K -23.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-20 09:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.