The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 65.18%1.53fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +4.09%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%65.03%65.11%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.451.441.5772.99%69.00%69.69%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV +0.979%
Edge +0.337%
Kelly +0.515%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.97%34.89%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.692.702.9041.67%37.17%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 65.18%; SSG Landers (Visit): 34.82%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV +2.33%E +1.49%K +4.09%G +0.095%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -10.51%E -4.09%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 09:09
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -0.927%E -0.610%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.58%E -1.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.58%E -1.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 09:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -1.58%E -1.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 09:24
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.23%E -1.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 08:49
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -2.23%E -1.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -16.43%E -6.85%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 09:14
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -2.88%E -1.93%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -8.07%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.53%E -2.39%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 09:20
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.53%E -2.39%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.49%E -3.79%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.20%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.49%E -3.79%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.49%E -3.79%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 08:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.14%E -4.26%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:14
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.79%E -4.75%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.979%E +0.337%K +0.515%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-22 08:59
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.79%E -4.75%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.44%E -5.24%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:55
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:05
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.10%E -5.74%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 08:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.75%E -6.25%K -21.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.75%E -6.25%K -21.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.75%E -6.25%K -21.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -10.70%E -7.81%K -28.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.