The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samsung Lions v NC Dinos

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 63.19%1.58fair odd
EV -0.797%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%62.95%63.26%63.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.24%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC Dinos (Visit)

Prediction 36.81%2.72fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.08%37.05%36.74%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.552.6543.48%39.77%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 63.19%; NC Dinos (Visit): 36.81%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -0.797%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -0.797%E -0.508%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 04:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -0.797%E -0.508%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -15.33%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.43%E -0.916%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -5.39%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.43%E -0.916%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -5.39%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 04:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.43%E -0.916%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.43%E -0.916%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.43%E -0.916%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 04:55
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.43%E -0.916%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 04:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.06%E -1.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 04:54
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.69%E -1.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 04:54
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.96%E -2.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 04:45
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.96%E -2.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 04:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.81%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 04:50
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.59%E -3.04%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 04:30
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.22%E -3.48%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.44%E -0.922%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 04:50
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.22%E -3.48%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.92%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.22%E -3.48%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:55
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.22%E -3.48%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 04:54
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.85%E -3.93%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.81%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 04:55
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.85%E -3.93%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 04:50
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.48%E -4.38%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 04:52
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.48%E -4.38%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.48%E -4.38%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.48%E -4.38%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.86%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 04:55
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.48%E -4.38%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 04:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.48%E -4.38%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 04:40
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.38%E -5.78%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.38%E -5.78%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.01%E -6.26%K -20.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 04:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.01%E -6.26%K -20.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.