Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions v NC Dinos

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 70.73%1.41fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.799%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%70.44%71.11%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.321.4378.74%75.01%75.76%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC Dinos (Visit)

Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.699%
Kelly +0.979%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.56%28.89%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.193.223.5036.36%31.36%31.06%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 70.73%; NC Dinos (Visit): 29.27%. For NC Dinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV +1.14%E +0.799%K +2.66%G +0.030%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -18.04%E -6.44%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 09:15
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.979%E -0.699%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -19.51%E -7.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -1.69%E -1.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -8.97%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 09:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -1.69%E -1.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -8.97%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 09:09
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -0.479%E -0.141%K -0.200%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-22 09:13
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.52%E -3.34%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 09:19
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.52%E -3.34%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 09:19
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -4.52%E -3.34%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -15.11%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 09:24
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 09:24
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -1.36%E -0.403%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 09:19
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 09:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.75%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 09:19
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 09:24
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 09:08
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.479%E -0.141%K -0.200%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:25
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:24
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:24
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:24
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-22 09:25
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.34%E -5.61%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +2.45%E +0.699%K +0.979%G +0.024%4.9%2026-09-22 09:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.34%E -5.61%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 09:24
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.34%E -5.61%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 09:14
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-22 09:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-22 09:15
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-22 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.65%E -4.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-22 09:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.41%EV -10.17%E -8.01%K -37.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.59%EV -19.51%E -7.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-22 09:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.