The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 66.00%1.52fair odd
EV +0.987%
Edge +0.645%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%65.95%65.88%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.431.5372.46%69.34%69.93%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.660%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%34.05%34.12%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.722.752.9842.02%36.78%36.36%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 66.00%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 34.00%. For Lotte Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +0.987%E +0.645%K +1.86%G +0.018%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -19.09%E -8.02%K -13.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 06:00
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +0.327%E +0.215%K +0.628%G +0.002%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -0.333%E -0.221%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -0.333%E -0.221%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -0.333%E -0.221%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -0.333%E -0.221%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 08:30
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -1.65%E -1.11%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -3.79%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.29%E -2.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.77%E -0.969%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.29%E -2.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.77%E -0.969%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.29%E -2.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 08:55
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.29%E -2.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.29%E -2.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.49%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -6.85%E -2.50%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.61%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.969%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 08:55
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.61%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 08:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.61%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.61%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.287%E +0.097%K +0.147%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 08:55
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 08:55
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 08:55
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +1.31%E +0.439%K +0.660%G +0.009%5.0%2026-07-18 08:55
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 08:45
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 08:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 08:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.91%E -6.46%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.61%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.91%E -6.46%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.61%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 08:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.