Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 66.06%1.51fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.42%65.95%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.401.4974.63%71.16%71.43%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 33.94%2.95fair odd
EV +8.60%
Edge +2.69%
Kelly +3.91%
Growth +0.336%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%33.58%34.05%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.803.2038.46%35.17%35.71%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 66.06%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 33.94%. For Lotte Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.47%E -8.56%K -33.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.60%E +2.69%K +3.91%G +0.336%5.9%2026-07-19 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.47%E -8.56%K -33.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.60%E +2.69%K +3.91%G +0.336%5.9%2026-07-19 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.47%E -8.56%K -33.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.60%E +2.69%K +3.91%G +0.336%5.9%2026-07-19 08:25
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.47%E -8.56%K -33.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.60%E +2.69%K +3.91%G +0.336%5.9%2026-07-19 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.47%E -8.56%K -33.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.60%E +2.69%K +3.91%G +0.336%5.9%2026-07-19 08:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.15%E -7.47%K -28.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.81%E +0.603%K +0.905%G +0.016%6.9%2026-07-18 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -0.227%E -0.077%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.566%E -0.193%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 08:35
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -8.17%E -5.88%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.28%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 08:45
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -1.57%E -1.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -3.96%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 08:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.30%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.98%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 08:25
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.98%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.98%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.98%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 08:15
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 08:20
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:18
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 08:28
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 08:30
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 08:30
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 08:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 08:25
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 08:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.21%E -2.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.51%E -5.37%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 08:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.49%E -6.93%K -25.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -11.77%E -4.53%K -7.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.49%E -6.93%K -25.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -11.77%E -4.53%K -7.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.