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Samsung Lions v Lotte Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samsung Lions (Local)
Prediction 57.65%1.73fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%57.60%57.59%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.651.7164.52%61.01%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lotte Giants (Visit)
Prediction 42.35%2.36fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.40%42.41%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.39%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 57.65%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 42.35%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.42%E -0.833%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.86%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-16 07:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -11.06%E -5.27%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 03:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 08:30 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -13.17%E -6.43%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-16 04:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.59%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.74%E -0.750%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-16 09:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.59%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.74%E -0.750%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-16 09:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.31%E -2.59%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.13%E -2.29%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-16 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.31%E -2.59%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.55%E -2.49%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 08:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 08:40 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 08:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 07:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.04%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.13%E -2.29%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 08:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.59%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-16 08:10 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 07:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 09:15 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 08:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 07:55 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-16 08:10 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.77%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 07:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-16 09:23 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.55%EV -10.21%E -4.82%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-16 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.06%E -5.27%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-16 08:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.65%E -6.87%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.59%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 07:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.