The School of Odds

Samsung Lions v LG Twins

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 51.14%1.96fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.08%51.07%52.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.43%54.05%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

LG Twins (Visit)

Prediction 48.86%2.05fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.92%48.93%50.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.922.0054.64%52.18%52.22%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.77%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 09:10
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 08:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.63%E -4.62%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 00:25
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 09:20
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 09:15
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 07:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 07:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 09:25
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 09:25
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:05
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 09:19
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 15:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.59%E -5.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-08 00:14
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 09:25
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:20
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 09:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.59%E -5.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 09:20
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 09:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 09:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 09:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 09:09
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -10.59%E -5.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-08 09:16
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -10.59%E -5.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-08 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.51%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.