The School of Odds

Samsung Lions v LG Twins

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 50.90%1.96fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.25%51.07%54.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.841.9458.48%54.58%54.35%51.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

LG Twins (Visit)

Prediction 49.10%2.04fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.83%48.75%48.93%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.912.0855.56%51.89%52.36%48.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -10.42%E -5.92%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +2.14%E +1.03%K +1.98%G +0.042%4.9%2026-07-07 09:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -9.92%E -5.60%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -0.809%E -0.400%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:54
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -9.92%E -5.60%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -0.809%E -0.400%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:54
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -9.92%E -5.60%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -0.809%E -0.400%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:54
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -9.92%E -5.60%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -0.809%E -0.400%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:55
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -9.92%E -5.60%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -0.809%E -0.400%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:55
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.39%E -4.66%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.79%E -0.895%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 08:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.97%E -7.58%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.79%E -0.895%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-07 09:20
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.77%E -1.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 09:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.77%E -1.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 09:24
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.26%E -0.651%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 09:05
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.33%E -2.87%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.33%E -2.87%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 09:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.25%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 09:00
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 09:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 09:15
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 09:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.39%E -4.66%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 09:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.39%E -4.66%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 09:04
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 09:19
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.39%E -4.66%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 09:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.77%E -0.918%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.68%E -4.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 09:25
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 09:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 09:15
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 09:15
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 09:24
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 09:05
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 09:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.66%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.61%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-07 09:23
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.66%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.61%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-07 09:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.