The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v KT Wiz

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 46.92%2.13fair odd
EV +7.93%
Edge +3.45%
Kelly +6.10%
Growth +0.483%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%46.81%46.95%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.032.022.3052.63%49.19%49.38%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KT Wiz (Visit)

Prediction 53.08%1.88fair odd
EV -0.749%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.861%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%53.19%53.05%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.761.761.8763.69%56.88%56.82%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 46.92%; KT Wiz (Visit): 53.08%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.93%E +3.45%K +6.10%G +0.483%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.67%E -10.62%K -29.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 06:29
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.46%E -0.695%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 07:49
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.46%E -0.695%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.46%E -0.695%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 07:19
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.46%E -0.695%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.46%E -0.695%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 07:19
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.46%E -0.695%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 07:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.40%E -1.15%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.40%E -1.15%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 07:40
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 07:29
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 07:39
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 07:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 07:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 07:28
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -0.749%E -0.400%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-28 07:39
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.93%E -2.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 07:40
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.87%E -1.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 07:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 07:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 07:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 07:29
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 07:29
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 07:29
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 07:38
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.15%E -3.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 07:29
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.81%E -0.979%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 07:29
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 07:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 07:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.84%E -5.71%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 07:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.84%E -5.71%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 07:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.