The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v KT Wiz

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 62.59%1.60fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.51%62.50%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.30%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KT Wiz (Visit)

Prediction 37.41%2.67fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%37.49%37.50%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.6042.55%39.86%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 62.59%; KT Wiz (Visit): 37.41%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.98%E -1.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 08:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.98%E -1.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.23%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 09:00
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.23%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 08:59
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.86%E -3.20%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.49%E -3.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.49%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.49%E -3.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 09:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -5.49%E -3.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 09:00
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 09:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 09:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 08:50
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 09:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 09:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 08:49
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 08:59
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 08:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.36%E -4.98%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.99%E -5.44%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.24%E -6.37%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.09%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.