The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v KT Wiz

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 09:31 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV +0.121%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.20%39.13%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.402.402.5546.51%41.70%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KT Wiz (Visit)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.80%60.87%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.44%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 39.26%; KT Wiz (Visit): 60.74%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.547. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.550, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.121%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.121%E +0.048%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 09:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.121%E +0.048%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.84%E -0.737%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -1.84%E -0.737%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.72%E -7.29%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 05:24
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.41%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 08:55
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 09:10
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.61%E -0.992%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-12 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.59%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.59%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 09:04
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.59%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 09:04
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.59%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 09:05
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.59%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 09:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.38%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 08:58
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 08:54
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-12 08:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 08:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 08:44
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -6.16%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 08:54
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.21%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 09:19
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:19
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:19
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 08:48
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 09:18
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.63%EV -10.87%E -4.79%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.37%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 09:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -15.58%E -7.25%K -13.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -11.93%E -8.23%K -26.51%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-12 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.