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Samsung Lions v Kiwoom Heroes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samsung Lions (Local)
Prediction 76.10%1.31fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%76.02%76.17%77.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.56%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)
Prediction 23.90%4.18fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 4.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.16%23.98%23.83%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.854.3928.57%25.69%25.97%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 76.10%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 23.90%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV +4.93%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.072% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.40%E -5.20%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.390%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.16%E -5.87%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.16%E -5.87%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.68%E -7.24%K -43.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.68%E -7.24%K -43.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.98%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.98%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.98%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.83%E -1.42%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.83%E -1.42%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.88%E -3.90%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.64%E -4.55%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.16%E -5.87%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.16%E -5.87%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.16%E -5.87%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.59%E -2.03%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.56%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -7.92%E -6.55%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.15%E -4.27%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.83%E -1.42%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.34%E -4.67%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.