The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samsung Lions v Kiwoom Heroes

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 67.61%1.48fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.941%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%67.64%67.55%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.5074.07%71.70%71.68%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)

Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.587%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%32.36%32.45%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.892.903.0540.00%34.65%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 67.61%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 32.39%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.41%E +0.941%K +2.82%G +0.040%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -19.02%E -7.61%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 06:40
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -1.97%E -1.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV -4.12%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 09:14
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.64%E -1.84%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.41%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.41%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.00%E -2.81%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.00%E -2.81%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:19
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.00%E -2.81%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.00%E -2.81%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.77%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:20
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:20
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 09:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 08:54
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 08:58
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 23:39
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.03%E -4.33%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.20%E -0.395%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -7.03%E -2.45%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 09:04
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 08:58
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:10
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:09
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 09:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.73%E -6.47%K -24.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.73%E -6.47%K -24.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.