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Samsung Lions v Kiwoom Heroes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samsung Lions (Local)
Prediction 73.88%1.35fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -5.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%73.74%74.07%75.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3380.00%78.34%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV +5.25%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.25%26.26%25.93%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.604.0330.77%27.91%27.78%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 73.88%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 26.12%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -4.69%E -3.64%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV +5.25%E +1.30%K +1.73%G +0.091% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.69%E -3.64%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.911%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.69%E -3.64%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.911%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.43%E -4.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.37%E -0.911%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -5.43%E -4.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.21%E -2.45%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.21%E -2.45%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.69%E -3.64%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.17%E -4.86%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 04:47 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.91%E -5.48%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 04:42 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.17%E -4.86%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.69%E -3.64%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.69%E -3.64%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.43%E -4.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.43%E -4.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.59%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.47%E -1.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.47%E -1.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.17%E -4.86%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.73%E -1.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.12%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.12%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.