The School of Odds

Samsung Lions v Kia Tigers

2026-07-28 09:30 UTC — KBO

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.24%44.28%45.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.142.2350.00%46.95%46.73%44.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%55.76%55.72%57.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.701.7362.11%59.37%58.82%57.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.45%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 13:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 14:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 13:20
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.65%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 14:45
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:30
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 14:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 14:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 19:14
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 14:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 14:29
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 19:00
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 19:00
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 19:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 19:10
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.42%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 14:45
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.31%E -2.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 14:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 14:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 15:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 15:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 14:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.38%EV -10.28%E -5.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.61%E -5.81%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.15%E -6.31%K -16.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 15:35
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.61%E -5.81%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.15%E -6.31%K -16.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.