The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samsung Lions v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 62.12%1.61fair odd
EV +0.008%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.54%62.25%62.27%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.521.6169.93%66.30%65.57%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 37.88%2.64fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.846%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%37.75%37.73%39.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.7042.55%39.84%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 62.12%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 37.88%. For Kia Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.17%E -7.81%K -25.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.28%E +0.846%K +1.34%G +0.031%7.0%2026-05-16 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.17%E -7.81%K -25.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.28%E +0.846%K +1.34%G +0.031%7.0%2026-05-16 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.17%E -7.81%K -25.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.28%E +0.846%K +1.34%G +0.031%7.0%2026-05-16 07:55
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.17%E -7.81%K -25.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.28%E +0.846%K +1.34%G +0.031%7.0%2026-05-16 07:55
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.17%E -7.81%K -25.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +2.28%E +0.846%K +1.34%G +0.031%7.0%2026-05-16 07:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.12%E -0.431%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.12%E -0.431%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 07:55
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.10%E -1.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 07:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.93%E -6.85%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 06:10
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.78%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 07:35
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 07:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 04:25
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.45%E -5.00%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:55
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.45%E -5.00%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.07%E -5.45%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 07:55
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.07%E -5.45%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 07:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.67%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 07:40
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV +0.008%E +0.005%K +0.013%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -6.43%E -2.60%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.48%E -1.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 07:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.72%E -2.40%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 07:34
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.72%E -2.40%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 07:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 07:34
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.48%E -1.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -8.32%E -3.44%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 07:40
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 07:39
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 22:39
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:52
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.22%E -4.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 22:44
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.55%E -7.33%K -23.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 07:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.