The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 58.47%1.71fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.63%58.21%60.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6864.94%61.78%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 41.53%2.41fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.31%41.37%41.79%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.4747.62%44.29%44.44%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 58.47%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 41.53%. For Kia Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +2.58%E +1.05%K +1.76%G +0.045%3.0%2026-05-15 09:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +2.58%E +1.05%K +1.76%G +0.045%3.0%2026-05-15 09:24
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV +0.508%E +0.210%K +0.358%G +0.002%2.3%2026-05-15 09:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +0.508%E +0.210%K +0.358%G +0.002%5.0%2026-05-15 09:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.323%E -0.134%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 09:24
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.40%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 09:25
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.65%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 09:25
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.72%E -2.52%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 09:19
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 09:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 09:24
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 09:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 08:53
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.87%E -3.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 09:25
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.87%E -3.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 09:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.87%E -3.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 09:24
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 08:50
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 08:49
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 08:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.87%E -3.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.77%E -1.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 08:38
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 22:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.78%E -6.09%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.78%E -6.09%K -11.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.96%E -6.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.78%E -6.09%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 09:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.