The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samsung Lions v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.90%56.77%58.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.671.7062.89%60.30%60.06%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 43.27%2.31fair odd
EV +0.389%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.295%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%43.10%43.23%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.152.3248.78%45.89%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 56.73%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 43.27%. For Kia Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.389%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-16 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.477%E -0.207%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 02:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.477%E -0.207%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 02:15
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.909%E -0.397%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 20:40
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.51%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 04:25
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 04:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 04:55
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 01:04
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 04:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 20:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:44
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:49
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 04:01
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 04:45
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 04:45
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 04:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 04:45
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 04:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 04:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.80%E -6.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.